Friday, December 7, 2012
Morgan Stanley's Top 2013 Picks Gold and Silver
SINGAPORE: Gold, silver and corn will outperform other raw materials next year as a weaker dollar and rising investor demand bolster precious metals while supply curbs aid grains, Morgan Stanley said, listing top picks for 2013.
Silver will track gold, which is poised to gain on low real interest rates, buying by central banks and geopolitical uncertainty, analysts including Peter Richardson and Hussein Allidina wrote in a report on Thursday, reiterating an October call. Corn and soya beans should benefit from harvest delays in South America, they said.
The bank is bearish on aluminum, sugar, nickel and uranium as supplies are set to outpace demand. Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs Group in predicting the so-called super-cycle isn't over. "Higher prices in recent years have brought both a supply and demand response, bringing many to call for the end" of the super-cycle, they wrote. Gold may average $1,853 an ounce in 2013, while silver may be $35 an ounce, Morgan Stanley said.
That compares with gold's average of $1,668 so far this year and $31.1542 for silver. Soya beans may average $15.70 a bushel in 2012-2013, it said.